Over 300,000 jobs could be at risk in the Travel & Tourism sector in the United Kingdom and almost 400,000 in Europe if the UK leaves the EU without a deal on 29 March, according to new analysis from the World Travel & Tourism Council released today.
A "No Deal" Brexit would have a damaging impact on one of the UK's most important economic sectors.
According to WTTC, which represents the private sector of Travel & Tourism globally, the industry contributes more than €1.5 trillion to the EU's GDP (10.3% of total) and supports 27.3 million jobs (11.7% of total). In the UK, the sector contributes £213.8 billion to GDP (10.5% of total) and supports four million jobs (11.6% of total).
The WTTC analysis models the impact on the Travel & Tourism sector over the next decade, based on the 7.7% forecasted fall in economic activity across the wider UK economy modelled by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). In this situation, a No Deal Brexit would result in:
To minimise the impact, it is crucial that:
1. The UK should continue to have access to the Single Aviation Market
2. Visa-free travel between the UK and EU should be maintained and the movement of people should be as seamless as possible while maintaining security
3. Mobility of labour for Travel & Tourism employees across the UK and EU should continue
4. Security co-operation to avoid hard border checks and lengthy delays is paramount
Gloria Guevara, President & CEO, WTTC said, "The UK is the fifth largest Travel & Tourism economy in the world. Given its importance to the UK economy, it is now clear that a No Deal Brexit would have a dramatic impact on one of the UK's most significant sectors."
"If the IMF prediction on the wider economy is realised, there would be a total cost across Europe of over £40 billion and over 700,000 jobs compared to our projections. Our Members are already seeing an impact on their businesses and workforce."
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